Loading Elections

2018 Elections

Last Updated: 12/11/2018, 12:43:02 PM

The selection of battleground races is powered by the Øptimus Election Model, and includes any races that could be competitive (we rank these between likely Dem to toss up to likely GOP).
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AZ-09
CA-24
CA-49
CO-06
FL-07
MD-06
MN-03
NJ-11
PA-03
PA-04
PA-17
VA-10
AZ-01
AZ-02
CA-10
CA-21
CA-25
CA-39
CA-45
CA-48
FL-26
FL-27
GA-06
IL-06
IL-14
IA-01
IA-03
KS-03
ME-02
MI-08
MI-11
MN-02
NV-03
NV-04
NH-01
NJ-03
NJ-07
NM-02
NY-11
NY-19
NY-22
PA-07
PA-08
SC-01
TX-07
TX-32
UT-04
VA-02
VA-07
WA-08
AK-al
AR-02
CA-01
CA-04
CA-22
CA-50
CO-03
FL-15
FL-16
FL-18
GA-07
IL-12
IL-13
IA-04
KS-02
KY-06
MI-06
MI-07
MN-01
MN-08
MO-02
MT-al
NE-02
NY-01
NY-02
NY-24
NY-27
NC-02
NC-09
NC-13
OH-01
OH-12
PA-01
PA-10
PA-16
TX-02
TX-06
TX-10
TX-21
TX-22
TX-23
TX-31
VA-05
WA-03
AZ-08
CO-04
FL-06
FL-25
IN-02
IN-09
MD-01
MI-02
NJ-04
NY-23
NC-07
OH-10
OH-14
PA-11
PA-14
SC-05
TN-04
VA-09
WA-05
WV-02
WV-03
WI-01
WI-06

Battleground
Lead D
Called D
Lead R
Called R
Lead Other
Called Other
R to D Flip
D to R Flip
Model Predictions
Safe D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss Up
Lean R
Likely R
Safe R
Election Status
Called
Not Called
AK House At-Large
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Don Young (inc)123,17354.28%
Alyse Galvin103,75545.72%
Other00.00%
More Details
AZ House 01
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Tom O'Halleran (inc)143,23453.84%
Wendy Rogers122,78446.16%
Other00.00%
More Details
AZ House 02
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Ann Kirkpatrick161,00054.75%
Lea Peterson133,08345.25%
Other00.00%
More Details
AZ House 08
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Debbie Lesko (inc)166,91355.50%
Hiral Tipirneni133,84244.50%
Other00.00%
More Details
AZ House 09
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Greg Stanton156,84861.03%
Stephen Ferrara100,17338.97%
Other00.00%
More Details
AR House 02
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
French Hill (inc)131,97452.11%
Clarke Tucker116,08845.84%
Other5,1872.05%
More Details
CA House 01
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Doug La Malfa (inc)158,15954.98%
Audrey Denney129,48245.02%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 04
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Tom McClintock (inc)177,40154.30%
Jessica Morse149,30745.70%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 10
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Josh Harder106,26551.61%
Jeff Denham (inc)99,64448.39%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 21
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
TJ Cox55,67250.20%
David Valadao (inc)55,23649.80%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 22
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Devin Nunes (inc)110,03953.46%
Andrew Janz95,81346.54%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 24
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Salud Carbajal (inc)156,84958.04%
Justin Fareed113,40941.96%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 25
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Katie Hill124,75653.85%
Steve Knight (inc)106,91146.15%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 39
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Gil Cisneros122,30251.35%
Young Kim115,86948.65%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 45
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Katie Porter150,44351.77%
Mimi Walters (inc)140,13048.23%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 48
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Harley Rouda153,40853.44%
Dana Rohrabacher (inc)133,63746.56%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 49
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Mike Levin153,76656.11%
Diane Harkey120,25843.89%
Other00.00%
More Details
CA House 50
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Duncan Hunter (inc)129,63651.85%
Ammar Campa-Najjar120,40248.15%
Other00.00%
More Details
CO House 03
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Scott R Tipton (inc)171,97151.49%
Diane Bush145,63143.60%
Other16,4014.91%
More Details
CO House 04
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Ken Buck (inc)224,02860.62%
Karen McCormick145,53539.38%
Other00.00%
More Details
CO House 06
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Jason Crow187,63954.10%
Mike Coffman (inc)148,68542.87%
Other10,4933.03%
More Details
FL House 06
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Michael Waltz187,86056.32%
Nancy Soderberg145,70943.68%
Other00.00%
More Details
FL House 07
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Stephanie Murphy (inc)183,08157.69%
Mike Miller134,29842.31%
Other00.00%
More Details
FL House 15
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Ross Spano151,35653.03%
Kristen Carlson134,07646.97%
Other00.00%
More Details
FL House 16
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Vern Buchanan (inc)197,43354.57%
David Shapiro164,35745.43%
Other00.00%
More Details
FL House 18
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Brian Mast (inc)185,54354.33%
Lauren Baer155,97445.67%
Other00.00%
More Details
FL House 25
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Mario Diaz-Balart (inc)128,65060.47%
Mary Barzee Flores84,08339.53%
Other00.00%
More Details
FL House 26
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell119,74650.87%
Carlos Curbelo (inc)115,65749.13%
Other00.00%
More Details
FL House 27
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Donna Shalala130,67151.75%
Maria Elvira Salazar115,57545.77%
Other6,2552.48%
More Details
GA House 06
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Lucy McBath160,13950.51%
Karen Handel (inc)156,87549.49%
Other00.00%
More Details
GA House 07
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Rob Woodall (inc)140,44350.08%
Carolyn Bourdeaux140,01049.92%
Other00.00%
More Details
IL House 06
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Sean Casten166,94253.40%
Peter Roskam (inc)145,65546.60%
Other00.00%
More Details
IL House 12
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Michael Bost (inc)129,21652.14%
Brendan Kelly111,00444.79%
Other7,5923.06%
More Details
IL House 13
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Rodney Davis (inc)136,03850.86%
Betsy Dirksen Londrigan131,44749.14%
Other00.00%
More Details
IL House 14
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Lauren Underwood132,88451.92%
Randy Hultgren (inc)123,05948.08%
Other00.00%
More Details
IN House 02
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Jackie Walorski (inc)189,96155.53%
Mel Hall152,14444.47%
Other00.00%
More Details
IN House 09
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Trey Hollingsworth (inc)218,07257.95%
Liz Watson158,25442.05%
Other00.00%
More Details
IA House 01
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Abby Finkenauer170,34250.99%
Rod Blum (inc)153,44245.93%
Other10,2853.08%
More Details
IA House 03
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Cindy Axne175,64249.33%
David Young (inc)167,93247.17%
Other12,4713.50%
More Details
IA House 04
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Steve King (inc)157,60750.34%
J.D. Scholten147,22347.02%
Other8,2862.65%
More Details
KS House 02
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Steve Watkins124,89548.09%
Paul Davis120,42146.37%
Other14,4025.55%
More Details
KS House 03
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Sharice Davids164,25353.33%
Kevin Yoder (inc)136,10444.19%
Other7,6432.48%
More Details
KY House 06
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Andy Barr (inc)154,46851.09%
Amy McGrath144,73047.87%
Other3,1611.05%
More Details
ME House 02
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Jared Golden139,22450.53%
Bruce L Poliquin (inc)136,28649.47%
Other00.00%
More Details
MD House 01
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Andrew P Harris (inc)180,47760.34%
Jesse Colvin113,05037.80%
Other5,5681.86%
More Details
MD House 06
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
David Trone148,59357.80%
Amie Hoeber100,81939.22%
Other7,6752.99%
More Details
MI House 02
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
William Huizenga (inc)169,03355.26%
Robert Davidson131,61743.03%
Other5,2451.71%
More Details
MI House 06
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Fred Upton (inc)147,43750.25%
Matt Longjohn134,06945.69%
Other11,9234.06%
More Details
MI House 07
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Tim Walberg (inc)158,88553.81%
Gretchen Driskell136,41046.19%
Other00.00%
More Details
MI House 08
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Elissa Slotkin172,87850.61%
Mike Bishop (inc)159,80446.78%
Other8,9282.61%
More Details
MI House 11
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Haley Stevens181,70651.83%
Lena Epstein158,33145.17%
Other10,5193.00%
More Details
MN House 01
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Jim Hagedorn146,20350.22%
Dan Feehan144,89449.78%
Other00.00%
More Details
MN House 02
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Angela Craig177,97152.76%
Jason Lewis (inc)159,37347.24%
Other00.00%
More Details
MN House 03
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Dean Phillips202,40255.72%
Erik Paulsen (inc)160,83844.28%
Other00.00%
More Details
MN House 08
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Pete Stauber159,38850.74%
Joe Radinovich141,97245.20%
Other12,7684.06%
More Details
MO House 02
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Ann Wagner (inc)190,00851.30%
Cort VanOstran174,48647.11%
Other5,8991.59%
More Details
MT House At-Large
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Greg Gianforte (inc)251,29051.13%
Kathleen Williams226,24146.04%
Other13,9172.83%
More Details
NE House 02
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Don Bacon (inc)152,31553.12%
Kara Eastman134,41246.88%
Other00.00%
More Details
NV House 03
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Susie Lee148,47451.89%
Danny Tarkanian122,55142.83%
Other15,1005.28%
More Details
NV House 04
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Steven Horsford121,93651.93%
Cresent Hardy102,74043.75%
Other10,1554.32%
More Details
NH House 01
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Chris Pappas155,27753.67%
Eddie Edwards130,19345.00%
Other3,8411.33%
More Details
NJ House 03
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Andy Kim150,40549.93%
Tom MacArthur (inc)146,97848.79%
Other3,8451.28%
More Details
NJ House 04
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Christopher Smith (inc)160,18555.44%
Joshua Welle124,34443.04%
Other4,4061.52%
More Details
NJ House 07
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Tom Malinowski162,72451.63%
Leonard Lance (inc)147,63746.84%
Other4,8101.53%
More Details
NJ House 11
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Mikie Sherrill173,16655.92%
Jay Webber130,58542.17%
Other5,9431.92%
More Details
NM House 02
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Xochitl Torres Small99,44050.70%
Yvette Herrell96,71249.30%
Other00.00%
More Details
NY House 01
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Lee M. Zeldin (inc)130,91953.22%
Perry Gershon112,34345.66%
Other2,7561.12%
More Details
NY House 02
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Peter King (inc)122,10353.30%
Liuba Shirley106,99646.70%
Other00.00%
More Details
NY House 11
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Max Rose95,45852.89%
Dan Donovan (inc)84,33746.73%
Other7000.39%
More Details
NY House 19
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Antonio Delgado132,00150.18%
John Faso (inc)124,40847.29%
Other6,6562.53%
More Details
NY House 22
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Anthony Brindisi117,93150.28%
Claudia Tenney (inc)116,63849.72%
Other00.00%
More Details
NY House 23
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Thomas W. Reed, II (inc)123,09355.01%
Tracy Mitrano100,68444.99%
Other00.00%
More Details
NY House 24
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
John M Katko (inc)129,27653.12%
Dana Balter114,10246.88%
Other00.00%
More Details
NY House 27
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Chris Collins (inc)134,25149.35%
Nate McMurray132,04148.53%
Other5,7732.12%
More Details
NC House 02
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
George Holding (inc)167,38251.38%
Linda Coleman148,95945.73%
Other9,4272.89%
More Details
NC House 07
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
David Rouzer (inc)155,70555.63%
Kyle Horton119,60642.73%
Other4,5991.64%
More Details
NC House 09
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Mark Harris138,34849.43%
Dan McCready136,50748.77%
Other5,0421.80%
More Details
NC House 13
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Ted Budd (inc)145,96251.58%
Kathy Manning128,76445.51%
Other8,2312.91%
More Details
OH House 01
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Steve Chabot (inc)151,10751.80%
Aftab Pureval135,46746.44%
Other5,1261.76%
More Details
OH House 10
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Mike Turner (inc)153,64056.18%
Theresa Gasper114,69941.94%
Other5,1401.88%
More Details
OH House 12
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Troy Balderson (inc)170,88051.70%
Danny O'Connor155,17746.95%
Other4,4421.34%
More Details
OH House 14
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
David Joyce (inc)166,48355.39%
Betsy Rader134,05944.61%
Other00.00%
More Details
PA House 01
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Brian Fitzpatrick (inc)168,84151.33%
Henry Wallace160,09848.67%
Other00.00%
More Details
PA House 03
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Dwight Evans (inc)277,88593.38%
Bryan Leib19,6876.62%
Other00.00%
More Details
PA House 04
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Madeleine Dean Cunnane210,21963.45%
Daniel David121,11736.55%
Other00.00%
More Details
PA House 07
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Susan Wild137,12253.38%
Martin Nothstein111,86243.55%
Other7,8993.07%
More Details
PA House 08
Likely D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Matt Cartwright (inc)134,51954.65%
John Chrin111,64045.35%
Other00.00%
More Details
PA House 10
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Scott Perry (inc)148,79051.35%
George Scott140,95648.65%
Other00.00%
More Details
PA House 11
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Lloyd Smucker (inc)162,83558.64%
Jessica King114,83141.36%
Other00.00%
More Details
PA House 14
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Guy Reschenthaler149,14757.96%
Bibiana Boerio108,17942.04%
Other00.00%
More Details
PA House 16
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
George Kelly (inc)132,08851.48%
Ronald Dinicola121,58547.39%
Other2,9021.13%
More Details
PA House 17
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Conor Lamb (inc)181,18756.21%
Keith Rothfus (inc)141,14543.79%
Other00.00%
More Details
SC House 01
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Joe Cunningham131,72751.62%
Katie Arrington123,44548.38%
Other00.00%
More Details
SC House 05
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Ralph Norman (inc)138,17857.28%
Archie Parnell99,73341.34%
Other3,3201.38%
More Details
TN House 04
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Scott DesJarlais (inc)147,19663.39%
Mariah Phillips77,95533.57%
Other7,0503.04%
More Details
TX House 02
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Dan Crenshaw139,01252.87%
Todd Litton119,70845.53%
Other4,2041.60%
More Details
TX House 06
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Ron Wright135,77953.13%
Jana Lynne Sanchez116,04045.41%
Other3,7241.46%
More Details
TX House 07
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Lizzie Pannill Fletcher127,56852.50%
John Culberson (inc)115,41847.50%
Other00.00%
More Details
TX House 10
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Michael McCaul (inc)156,98048.91%
Mike Siegel142,72844.47%
Other21,2636.62%
More Details
TX House 21
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Chip Roy176,91350.34%
Joseph Kopser167,02047.53%
Other7,4972.13%
More Details
TX House 22
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Pete Olson (inc)152,36851.40%
Sri Preston Kulkarni137,59246.41%
Other6,4892.19%
More Details
TX House 23
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Will Hurd (inc)103,16449.16%
Gina Ortiz Jones102,25548.73%
Other4,4182.11%
More Details
TX House 31
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
John Carter (inc)144,39350.63%
Mary Jennings Hegar135,84347.63%
Other4,9551.74%
More Details
TX House 32
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Colin Allred143,86852.25%
Pete Sessions (inc)126,01445.77%
Other5,4471.98%
More Details
UT House 04
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Ben McAdams134,90650.13%
Mia Love (inc)134,20649.87%
Other00.00%
More Details
VA House 02
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Elaine Luria139,35251.10%
Scott Taylor (inc)133,33548.90%
Other00.00%
More Details
VA House 05
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Denver Riggleman165,46853.24%
Leslie Cockburn145,35546.76%
Other00.00%
More Details
VA House 07
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Abigail Spanberger175,81850.33%
Dave Brat (inc)169,29348.46%
Other4,2201.21%
More Details
VA House 09
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Morgan Griffith (inc)160,89865.20%
Anthony Flaccavento85,87334.80%
Other00.00%
More Details
VA House 10
Lean D Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Jennifer Wexton206,11456.22%
Barbara Comstock (inc)160,53743.78%
Other00.00%
More Details
WA House 03
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Jaime Herrera Beutler (inc)157,74552.86%
Carolyn Long140,65147.14%
Other00.00%
More Details
WA House 05
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Cathy McMorris Rodgers (inc)144,87355.18%
Lisa Brown117,66844.82%
Other00.00%
More Details
WA House 08
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Kim Schrier150,21352.59%
Dino Rossi135,43547.41%
Other00.00%
More Details
WV House 02
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Alexander Xavier Mooney (inc)110,50453.96%
Talley Sergent88,01142.98%
Other6,2773.07%
More Details
WV House 03
Lean R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Carol Miller98,64356.37%
Richard Ojeda II76,33843.63%
Other00.00%
More Details
WI House 01
Toss Up Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Bryan Steil175,08954.53%
Randy Bryce136,09142.38%
Other9,9033.08%
More Details
WI House 06
Likely R Federal Called
CANDIDATEVOTESPCT%
Glenn S. Grothman (inc)179,901100.00%
Daniel Koh00.00%
Other00.00%
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